CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2022-02-06T15:38:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2022-02-06T15:38ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/19105/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible in the far north of SOHO LASCO C2 and in the northwest of STEREO A COR2. The source is unclear. It overlaps in STEREO A COR2 with the CME first seen in STEREO A COR2 at 2022-02-06T14:09Z, which was caused by a filament eruption near the Earth facing center disk. The L1 shock arrival of the combined front of this CME and 2022-02-06T14:09Z CME is around 2022-02-09T20:09Z and the flux rope part possibly starts around mid-day on 2022-02-10.
CME was not detected at Earth.
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0
Predicted Arrival Time: 2022-02-09T18:38Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 100.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.5
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -25512.78 hour(s)
Difference: 1.52 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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